Who are the Real Favorites for the 2026 Baseball Season?
Published: March 29, 2026
As the 2026 MLB season officially gets underway, the hierarchy of the league has never been more defined. This year, the gap between the "elites" and the rest of the pack is wide, driven by massive off-season moves and the continued dominance of established superstars. Analysts have divided the league into distinct tiers, and the battle at the top is shaping up to be a historic one.
The "Tier 1" Favorites: A National League Powerhouse
The road to the 2026 championship clearly runs through the National League. Three specific teams have distanced themselves from the rest of the field:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers: Led by the incomparable Shohei Ohtani, the Dodgers remain the gold standard. After another strong winter of acquisitions, their combination of Ohtani’s historic two-way talent and a deep rotation makes them the unanimous "Tier 1" favorite.
- The New York Mets & Philadelphia Phillies: These NL East rivals are breathing down the Dodgers' necks. The Mets have leaned into an aggressive pitching strategy, while the Phillies, anchored by Bryce Harper, boast an explosive lineup that thrives in the postseason spotlight. Both are projected for 95 wins this year.
- The Atlanta Braves: Never count out the Braves. With Ronald Acuña Jr. back at full strength, their roster remains one of the most balanced in baseball, keeping them firmly in the "Contender" tier.
The American League Outlook: A New King in the East?
In the American League, the conversation starts and ends with the New York Yankees. With Aaron Judge and Juan Soto providing the most feared 1-2 punch in the game, the Bronx Bombers are the clear favorites to represent the AL in the World Series.
However, the Seattle Mariners are the team everyone is watching. Known as a "pitching factory," the Mariners' rotation—led by Luis Castillo and George Kirby—is being hailed as the best in 2026. If their bats can provide even league-average support, Seattle could finally make their first World Series appearance.
MVP and Cy Young Watch
The race for individual hardware is already heating up:
- AL MVP: Aaron Judge is the early favorite, though he faces stiff competition from the Mariners' young superstar Julio Rodríguez.
- NL MVP: It’s hard to bet against Shohei Ohtani, but keep an eye on Mookie Betts, who continues to provide elite value at multiple positions.
- Cy Young: In the NL, Spencer Strider of the Braves is projected to lead the league in strikeouts, while the AL race looks like a toss-up between the Yankees' Gerrit Cole and the Mariners' rotation leaders.

